Top 10 Country Population growth and Number of deaths by world region

Top 10 Country Population growth and Number of deaths by world region


Compilations of census data and other sources
Historical population data on a sub-national level – including their administrative divisions and principal towns – is collected by Jan Lahmeyer and published at his website www.populstat.info.

The Minnesota Population Center publishes various high-quality datasets based on census data beginning in 1790. At the time of writing this source was online at www.pop.umn.edu/index.php. It focuses on North America and Europe.

The Data & Information Services Center (DISC) Archive at University of Wisconsin-Madison provides access to census data and population datasets (mostly for the Americas). At the time of writing this source was online at http://www.disc.wisc.edu.

The International Database published by the U.S. Census Bureau provides data for the time 1950-2100. At the time of writing this source was online at https://www.census.gov/data-tools/demo/idb/informationGateway.php.

The Atlas of the Biosphere publishes data on Population Density. At the time of writing this source was online at www.sage.wisc.edu/atlas/maps.




References
Here, we use an arbitrary cut-off of 10,000 square kilometers as the definition of a ‘large’ country.

As per 2011 estimates from Carl Haub (2011), “How Many People Have Ever Lived on Earth?” Population Reference Bureau.

See for example Kremer (1993) – Population growth and technological change: one million BC to 1990. In the Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 108, No. 3, 681-716. Online here.

John Hawks, Keith Hunley, Sang-Hee Lee, Milford Wolpoff; Population Bottlenecks and Pleistocene Human Evolution, Molecular Biology and Evolution, Volume 17, Issue 1, 1 January 2000, Pages 2–22. Online here.

The global child mortality rate was 22.5% according to the UN.

Data source: United Nations — World Population Prospects 2017

For more information on the “population dividend” see: http://www.unfpa.org/demographic-dividend and the work of David E. Bloom.

The ratio of under-15-year-olds to the working-age population (15-64):
1950: 1.54 billion / 0.869 billion = 1.8
2017: 4.94 billion / 1.96 billion = 2.5
2100: 6.69 billion /1.97 billion = 3.4
The data is shown here.

For a history and literature review of the theory’s development, see: Kirk, Dudley. “Demographic transition theory.” Population studies 50.3 (1996): 361-387. Available online here.

The data on birth rates, death rates and the total population is taken from the International Historical Statistics (IHS), edited by Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. (April 2013). The online version is available here. As a printed version it is published by Palgrave.

Wrigley, E. A., Schofield, R. S., & Schofield, R. (1989). The population history of England 1541-1871. Cambridge University Press.

Before 1800 more than 20% of Swedish babies died before they reached their first birthday, and of those who survived, another 20% died before their 10th birthday (see Croix, Lindh, and Malmberg (2009), Demographic change and economic growth in Sweden: 1750–2050. In Journal of Macroeconomics, 31, 1, 132–148).

United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division (2017). World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, DVD Edition.

U.S. Census Bureau (2017). International Data Base.

Population Reference Bureau (2015). 2015 World Population Data Sheet.

Livi-Bacci (2007), “A Concise History of World Population”. Oxford: Blackwell Publishing.

Maddison, A. (2001). The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective, Development Centre of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development.

Denevan, W. M. (1992). The pristine myth: the landscape of the Americas in 1492. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 82(3), 369-385.