Thursday 12 March

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COVID-19 Thursday 12th March
China
I am from Wuhan. I lost 3 family friends/relatives to this virus. I observe same pattern here. It starts as a few cases, then it’s just another flu, then city lockdown. Number of people require medical assistance skyrockets. People not able to get beds in the hospital so they have to stay at home. Then they infect their family. THIS IS NOT FLU. Please be aware and keep social distance. All the best wishes to Europe.

Every country in the world will be affected
Each country with its peak
All people are now at risk
About a 7-day doubling time
Infection will continue until spread is blocked by immune people

WHO
We have rung the alarm bell, loud and clear
Can now be characterised as a pandemic
Alarming levels of inaction
Prevention
Preparedness
Politicians

Public health

People

Guarantee other countries will be the same as Iran and Italy

Serology surveys underway in China, no results yet

All countries now need to accept disease can spread

EU must examine their control (contain) systems and to review their mitigation strategies

WHO is not moving from control to mitigation, but a blended approach with control being the main pillar

Need to be more aggressive

May be an element of underdiagnosis in some African countries

Containment, delay, research treatment, mitigation